Beyond Political Transitions: Promoting Peaceful Democratic Openings Through Strategic Foresight is a facilitators’ guide that uses the “strategic foresight” process to help democracy, human rights and governance practitioners, civil society, and conflict prevention specialists project potential peaceful, democratic pathways the country could take and develop strategies for using advocacy, protest, dialogue, or negotiations to push their countries toward these trajectories.
Employing the toolkit, users conduct a series of “strategic foresight” exercises – including conflict analysis, spoiler identification, and scenario planning – to identify potential conflict triggers and develop strategies to respond to those triggers so they can best develop strategies to shape a more peaceful and democratic political transition. When applying this toolkit, users should engage a wide cross-section of democratic actors involved in activism during moments of political transition, supporting them as they push for a peaceful and democratic political order.
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