How can we determine whether or not preventative efforts are successful in preventing the outbreak of a violent conflict?
That is, many researchers have observed that it is notoriously difficult to prove the counter-factual of successfully preventing an event. While it indeed may be easier to prove that a specific peacebuilding objective did occur rather than proving that something did not occur, the challenge of obtaining a tangible and accurate measure of successful conflict prevention remains unmet.
This report presents two new methods for evaluating conflict prevention.
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